Bengals vs. Commanders odds, line, spread, prediction: Monday Night Football picks by NFL model on 187-130 run

 

Bengals vs. Commanders odds, line, spread, prediction: Monday Night Football picks by NFL model on 187-130 run

 

Bengals vs. Commanders odds, line, spread, prediction

SportsLine's model has run 10,000 simulations of the Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals matchup for Monday Night Football.

 

 

Two Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks are set to face off as Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals host Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders in the second of two Monday Night Football games. Burrow and the Bengals are still searching for their first win of the season after a narrow 26-25 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week. Meanwhile, the Commanders are aiming for their second consecutive victory after defeating the New York Giants 21-18.

 

Kickoff at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Bengals are 7.5-point favorites in the latest odds from SportsLine Consensus, with the over/under set at 46.5 points. Before making any picks for Bengals vs. Commanders, it's essential to check the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

 

This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has returned over $7,000 in profit for $100 bettors on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Entering Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is on a remarkable 187-130 run on top-rated picks dating back to the 2017 season. It’s also on a 41-22 streak for top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

 

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for straight-up NFL picks four of the past six years and outperformed 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players in four seasons during that time. Those following the model have seen significant gains!

 

The model has now simulated Commanders vs. Bengals 10,000 times and has released its highly sought-after NFL picks. Visit SportsLine to check them out. Below are some key NFL odds and betting lines for the Bengals vs. Commanders matchup:

 

Bengals vs. Commanders spread: Cincinnati -7.5

Bengals vs. Commanders over/under: 46.5 points

Bengals vs. Commanders money line: Cincinnati -357, Washington +283

WASH: The Commanders have hit the first-half game total over in 12 of their last 20 games

CIN: The Bengals have scored first in five of their last six home games

 

Why the Bengals can cover

 

Despite their 0-2 start, the Bengals remain a talented team on both sides of the ball. Cincinnati currently ranks 10th in the NFL in total defense (288 yards allowed per game) and second in pass defense (128.5 yards). They’re allowing 21 points per game. Defensive end Trey Hendrickson is a standout pass-rusher, consistently putting opposing quarterbacks under pressure. The 29-year-old has recorded 12 total pressures, seven hurries, and two sacks so far.

Cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt is a physical defender with impressive straight-line speed, allowing him to close gaps quickly. In two games, the Nebraska alum has tallied nine total tackles, two pass breakups, and one interception. Linebacker Logan Wilson is another key contributor, always finding his way to the ball. He leads the team with 24 total tackles, including 12 in each of the last two games. Check SportsLine for more insight on who to back.

 

Why the Commanders can cover

 

Despite having a rookie quarterback, Washington boasts one of the NFL's most explosive offenses. The Commanders are averaging 362.0 yards per game this season, ranking sixth in the league. They've been especially strong in the running game, averaging 176.5 rushing yards per game, the third-highest in the NFL.

In last week's win over New York, Washington rushed for 215 yards. Running back Brian Robinson Jr. led the charge with 17 carries for 133 yards. So far this season, Robinson Jr. has accumulated 173 rushing yards and a touchdown on 29 carries, averaging an impressive 6.0 yards per carry. He’ll now look to exploit a Cincinnati defense that is allowing 159.5 rushing yards per game. Check SportsLine for expert picks on who to back.

How to make Commanders vs. Bengals picks

 

SportsLine's model is favoring the Over, predicting a combined total of 56 points between the teams. It also indicates that one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. Visit SportsLine to view its full picks

 

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